Classic volatility accompanies the final hours of the month, with $20,000 representing the battleground between bulls and bears.
Bitcoin (BTC) swiftly climbed above $20,000 after the Sept. 30 Wall Street open as end-of-month volatility began.
Bitcoin volatility back for monthly close
The move followed predictions from traders, who were looking for slightly higher levels to precede a fresh downside move.
“Moving my stop to my entry now at 19.3k but letting it ride first to 21.7k where I think there’s some major resistance,” popular trader Pentoshi wrote in part of a fresh Twitter update about his trading plans.
“Looks like strength to me,” trading account IncomeSharks continued.
“Great way to finish the week off after seeing people switch back to being bearish every other day depending on the candle color.”
Fellow trader Cheds called $20,000 a “pivot,” focusing attention on the psychologically significant level, having previously flagged declining U.S. dollar strength — a classic catalyst for risk asset performance.
The downturn in the U.S. dollar index (DXY) continued on the day, approaching 112 points after meeting resistance during a rebound.
A further macro catalyst came in the form of United States Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) data, which came in hotter than expected, increasing pressure on the Federal Reserve.
In Europe, record Consumer Price Index (CPI) readings caused shock for some, highlights including The Netherlands’ 17.1% year-on-year increase.
The fate of September’s candle hangs in the balance
With hours to go until the September monthly candle close, meanwhile, eyes were firmly on whether bulls could stay the course.
Whether BTC/USD would finish the month up or down versus the start remained open to interpretation, as did the fate of monthly support.
At press time, the pair was 0.35% higher than on Sep. 1 — still enough to post its first “green” September since 2016, data from Coinglass confirmed.
“Historically Q4 has been Bitcoin’s best performance by far, with an average quarterly return of +103.9%,” he tweeted.
Coinglass data likewise showed that for Q3, BTC/USD was currently at 0.92%.
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